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Reich NG, Lessler J, Cummings DAT, Brookmeyer R. (2012). Estimating absolute and relative case fatality ratios from infectious disease surveillance data. Biometrics, June; 68(2):598-606. doi: 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2011.01709.x

Salje H, Lessler J, Endy TP, Curriero FC, Gibbons RV, Nisalak A, Nimmannitya S, Kalayanarooj S, Jarman RG, Thomas SJ, Burke DS, Cummings DAT. (2012). Revealing the microscale spatial signature of dengue transmission and immunity in an urban population. PNAS, May 29. [Epub ahead of print]

Simons E, Ferrari M, Fricks J, Wannemuehler K, Anand A, Burton A, Strebel P. (2012). Assessment of the 2010 global measles mortality reduction goal: results from a model of surveillance data.  The Lancet, Apr;379:2173-78. doi: 10:1016/S0140-6736(12)60522-4

Tatem AJ, Adamo S, Bharti N, Burgert CR, Castro M, Dorelien A, Fink G, Linard C, John M, Montana L, Montgomery MR, Nelson A, Noor AM, Pindolia D, Yetman G, Balk D. (2012). Mapping populations at risk: improving spatial demographic data for infectious disease modeling and metric derivation.  Popul Health Metr, 10:8.

Truscott J, Fraser C, Cauchemez S, Meeyai A, Hinsley W, Donnelly CA, Ghani AC, Ferguson NM. (2012). Essential epidemiological mechanisms underpinning the transmission dynamics of seasonal influenza. J R Soc Interface, 9:304-312.

Van Kerkhove MD, Ferguson NM. (2012). Epidemic and intervention modelling - a scientific rationale for policy decisions? Lessons from the 2009 influenza pandemic. Bull World Health Organ, 90:306-310.

Van Kerkhove MD, Riley S, Lipsitch M, Guan Y, Monto AS, Webster RG, Zambon M, Nicoll A, Malik Peiris JS, Ferguson NM. (2012). Comment on "Seroevidence for H5N1 Influenza Infections in Humans: Meta-Analysis." Science, 22 June;336:1506. doi: 10.1126/science.1221434

Van Kerkhove MD, Broberg E, Engelhardt OG, Wood J, Nicoll A on behalf of the CONSISE steering committee. (2012). The Consortium for the Standardization of Influenza Seroepidemiology (CONSISE): a global partnership to develop influenza investigation protocols and standardize seroepidemiology to inform public health policy.  Influenza Other Respi Viruses. Published online 26 Dec. DOI: 10_1111/irv.12068.

Word DP, Cummings DAT, Burke DS, Iamsirithaworn S, Laird CD. (2012). A nonlinear programming approach for estimation of transmission parameters in childhood infectious disease using a continuous time model. J R Soc Interface, 9:1983-1997.

Yu H, Cauchemez S, Donnelly CA, Zhou L, Feng L, Xiang N, Zheng J, Ye M, Huai Y, Liao Q, Peng Z, Feng Y, Jiang H, Yang W, Wang Y, Ferguson NM, Feng Z. (2012). Transmission dynamics, border entry screening, and school holidays during the 2009 influenza A (H1N1) pandemic, China. Emerg Infect Dis, May;18(5):758-766.



Althouse BM, Ng YY, Cummings DAT. (2011). Prediction of dengue incidence using search query surveillance. PLoS Negl Trop Dis, August; 5(8):e1258.

Assi TM, Brown ST, Djibo A, Norman BA, Rajgopal J, Welling JS, Chen SI, Bailey RR, Kone S, Kenea H, Connor DL, Wateska AR, Jana A, Wisniewski SR, Van Panhuis WG, Burke DS, Lee BY. (2011). Impact of changing the measles vaccine vial size on Niger's vaccine supply chain. BMC Public Health, 11(1):425.

Bharti N, Broutin H, Grais RF, Ferrari MJ, Djibo A, Tatem AJ, Grenfell BT. (2011). Spatial dynamics of meningococcal meningitis in Niger: observed patterns in comparison with measles.  Epidemiol Infect, 5:1-10.

Bharti N, Tatem AJ, Ferrari MJ, Grais RF, Djibo A, Grenfell BT. (2011). Explaining Seasonal Fluctuations of Measles in Niger Using Nighttime Lights Imagery. Science, 9 Dec, 334(6061):1424-1427. DOI: 10.1126/science.1210554.

Brown S, Tai J, Bailey R, Cooley P, Wheaton W, Potter M, Voorhees RE, LeJune M, Grefenstette JJ, Burke DS, McGlone SM, Lee B. (2011). Would school closure for the 2009 H1N1 influenza epidemic have been worth the cost?: A computational simulation of Pennsylvania. BMC Public Health, 11(1):353.

Cairns M, Ghani A, Okell L, Gosling R, Carneiro I, Anto F, Asoala V, Owusu-Agyei S, Greenwood B, Chandramohan D, Milligan P. (2011). Modelling the protective efficacy of alternative delivery schedules for intermittent preventive treatment of malaria in infants and children. PLoS One, 6(4), e18947. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0018947

Cauchemez S, Bhattarai A, Marchbanks TL, Fagan RP, Ostroff S, Ferguson NM, Swerdlow D, and the Pennsylvania H1N1 working group. (2011). Role of social networks in shaping disease transmission during a community outbreak of 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza. PNAS USA, 108:2825-2830

Donnelly CA, Finelli L, Cauchemez S, Olsen SJ, Doshi S, Jackson ML, Kennedy ED, Kamimoto L, Marchbanks TL, Morgan OW, Patel M, Swerdlow DL, Ferguson NM, and the pH1N1 Household Investigations working group. (2011). Serial intervals and the temporal distribution of secondary infections within households of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1): implications for influenza control recommendations. Clin Infect Dis, 1 Jan;52:S123-S130.

Eggo RM, Cauchemez S, Ferguson NM. (2011). Spatial dynamics of the 1918 influenza pandemic in England, Wales and the United States. J R Soc Interface, 6 Feb;8:233-243.

Ferrari MJ, Perkins SE, Pomeroy LW, Bjørnstad ON. (2011). Pathogens, social networks, and the paradox of transmission scaling.Interdiscip Perspect Infect Dis,2011(2011); 267049. doi:10.1155/2011/267049

Fraser C, Cummings DA, Klinkenberg D, Burke DS, Ferguson NM. (2011). Influenza transmission in households during the 1918 pandemic. Am J Epidemiol, Sep 1;174(5):505-514.

Garske T, Yu H, Peng Z, Ye M, Zhou H, Cheng X, Wu J, Ferguson NM. (2011). Travel patterns in China . PloS One, 6(2), e16364. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0016364

Gosling RD, Okell L, Mosha J, Chandramohan D. (2011). The role of antimalarial treatment in the elimination of malaria. Clin Microbiol Infect, 17(11):1617-1623.

Grenfell B. (2011). Boosting understanding of pertussis outbreaks.  PNAS, May 3, 108(18): 7279-7280.  doi: 10.1073/pnas.1103408108

Griffin JT, Garske T, Ghani AC, Clarke PS. (2011). Joint estimation of the basic reproduction number and generation time parameters for infectious disease outbreaks .Biostatistics (Oxford, England), 12(2):303-312. doi:10.1093/biostatistics/kxq058

Johansson M, Hombach J, Cummings DAT. (2011). Models of the impact of dengue vaccines: a review of current research and potential approaches. Vaccine, 29:5860-8.

Killingley B, Enstone J, Booy R, Hayward A, Oxford J, Ferguson N, Van-Tam JN, on behalf of the influenza transmission strategy development group. (2011). Potential role of human challenge studies for investigation of influenza transmission. Lancet Infect Dis, November;11:879-886.

Klepac P, Laxminarayan R, Grenfell BT. (2011). Synthesizing epidemiological and economic optima for control of immunizing infections.  PNAS, August 23; 108(34):14366-14370.

Lavine JS, King AA, Bjørnstad ON. (2011). Natural immune boosting in pertussis dynamics and the potential for long-term vaccine failure. PNAS, Apr 26; 108(17): 7259-7264.  doi: 10.1073/pnas.1014394108/-/DCSupplemental

Lee BY, Assi TM, Rookkapan K, Wateska AR, Rajgopal J, Sornsrivichai V, Chen SI, Brown ST, Welling J, Norman BA, Connor DL, Bailey RR, Jana A, Van Panhuis WG, Burke DS. (2011). Maintaining Vaccine Delivery Following the Introduction of the Rotavirus and Pneumococcal Vaccines in Thailand. PLoS One, 6((9):e24673. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0024673

Lee BY, Assi T, Rookkapan K, Connor DL, Rajgopal J, Sornsrivichai V, Brown ST, Welling J, Norman BA, Chen S, Bailey RR, Wiringa AE, Wateska AR, Jana A, Van Panhuis WA, Burke DS. (2011). Replacing the measles ten-dose vaccine presentation with the single-dose presentation in Thailand.Vaccine, 29(21):3811-3817.

Lee BY, Brown ST, Bailey RR, Zimmerman RK, Potter MA, McGlone SM, Cooley P, Grefenstette JJ, Zimmer SM, Wheaton WD, Quinn SC, Voorhees R, Burke DS. (2011). The benefits to all of ensuring equal and timely access to influenza vaccines in poor communities.Health Affairs, 30(6):1141-50

Lee BY, Connor DL, Kitchen SB, Bacon KM, Shah M, Brown ST, Bailey RR, Laosiritaworn Y, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2011). Economic value of dengue vaccine in Thailand. Am J Trop Med Hyg, 84(5):764-772. doi:10.4269/ajtmh.2011.10-0624

Lee BY, Tai JH, McGlone SM, Bailey RR, Wateska AR, Zimmer SM, Zimmerman RK, Wagner MM. (2011). The potential economic value of a ‘universal’ (multi-year) influenza vaccine. Influenza Other Respi Viruses, Sep 21. doi: 10.1111/j.1750-2659.2011.00288x

Lee BY, Wiringa AE. (2011). The 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic: a case study of how modeling can assist all stages of vaccine decision-making. Hum Vaccin, Jan 1;7(1):115-119.

Lessler J, Metcalf CJE, Grais RF, Luquero FJ, Cummings DAT, Grenfell BT. (2011). Measuring the performance of vaccination programs using cross-sectional surveys: A likelihood framework and retrospective analysis. PLoS Med, 8(10):  e1001110. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001110

Lessler J, Cummings DAT, Read JM, Wang S, Zhu H, Smith GJD, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Riley S. (2011). Location-specific patterns of exposure to recent pre-pandemic strains of influenza A in southern China. Nat Commun, 2:423.

Manjurano A, Okell L, Lukindo T, Reyburn H, Olomi R, Roger C, Clark TG, Joseph S, Riley EM, Drakeley C. (2011). Association of sub-microscopic malaria parasite carriage with transmission intensity in north-eastern Tanzania. Malaria Journal, 10:370.

Merler S, Ajelli M, Pugliese A, Ferguson NM. (2011). Determinants of the spatiotemporal dynamics of the 2009 H1N1 pandemic in Europe: implications for real-time modelling. PLoS Comput Biol, Sep;7(9):e1002205.

Metcalf CJ, Klepac P, Ferrari M, Grais RF, Djibo A, Grenfell BT. (2011). Modelling the first dose of measles vaccination: the role of maternal immunity, demographic factors, and delivery systems Epidemiol Infect, Feb; 139(2):265-74.  doi: 10.1017/S0950268810001329

Metcalf CJE, Graham AL, Huijben S, Barclay VC, Long GH, Grenfell BT, Read AF, Bjørnstad ON. (2011). Partitioning regulatory mechanisms of within-host malaria dynamics using the effective propagation number Science, Aug 19; 333:984-988.

Metcalf CJE, Munayco CV, Chowell G, Grenfell B, Bjørnstad ON. (2011). Rubella metapopulation dynamics and importance of spatial coupling to the risk of Congenital Rubella Syndrome in Peru. J R Soc Interface,8(56):369-376. doi:10.1098/rsif.2010.0320

Metcalf CJE, Bjørnstad ON, Ferrari M, Klepac P, Bharti N, Lopez-Gatell H, Grenfell BT. (2011). The epidemiology of rubella in Mexico: seasonality, stochasticity and regional variation.Epidemiol Infect,139(7):1029-1038doi:10.1017/S0950268810002165

Okell LC, Griffin JT, Kleinschmidt I, Hollingsworth TD, Churcher TS, White MJ, Bousema T, Drakeley CJ, Ghani AC. (2011). The Potential Contribution of Mass Treatment to the Control of Plasmodium falciparum Malaria. PLoS One, May;6(5):e20179.

Opatowski L, Fraser C, Griffin J, de Silva E, Van Kerkhove MD, Lyons EJ, Cauchemez S, Ferguson NM. (2011). Transmission characteristics of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic: comparison of 8 Southern hemisphere countries. PLoS Pathog, Sep;7(9):e1002225.

O'Reilly KM, Chauvin C, Aylward RB, Maher C, Okiror S, Wolff C, Nshmirimana D, Donnelly CA, Grassly NC. (2011). A statistical model of the international spread of wild poliovirus in Africa used to predict and prevent outbreaks. PLoS Med, Oct;8(10):e1001109.

Pitzer VE, Patel MM, Lopman BA, Viboud C, Parashar UD, Grenfell BT. (2011). Modeling Rotavirus Strain Dynamics in Developed Countries to Understand the Potential Impact of Vaccination on Genotype Distributions. PNAS, 29 Nov, 108(48):19353-19358. doi:10.1073/pnas.1110507108
Pitzer VE, Viboud C, Lopman BA, Patel MM, Parashar UD, Grenfell BT. (2011). Influence of birth rates and transmission rates on the global seasonality of rotavirus incidence. J R Soc Interface. [Epub ahead of print]. doi:10.1098/rsif.2011.0062

Rajgopal J, Connor DL, Assi TM, Norman BA, Chen S, Bailey RR, Long AR, Wateska AR, Bacon KM, Brown ST, Burke DS, Lee BY. (2011). The optimal number of routine vaccines to order at health clinics in low or middle income countries. Vaccine, July;29(33):5512-5518.

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Cordeiro MT, Braga C, de Souza WV, Marques ET, Cummings DAT. (2011). From re-emergence to hyperendemicity: The natural history of the dengue epidemic in Brazil.PLoS Negl Trop Dis, 5(1), e935. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0000935

Shekalaghe SA, Drakeley C, van den Bosch S, ter Braak R, van den Bijllaardt W, Mwanziva C, Semvua S, Masokoto A, Mosha F, Teelen K, Hermsen R, Okell L, Gosling R, Sauerwein R, Bousema T. (2011). A cluster-randomized trial of mass drug administration with a gametocytocidal drug combination to interrupt malaria transmission in a low endemic area in Tanzania. Malar J, Aug;10:247. doi: 10.1186/1475-2875-10-247

The malERA Consultative Group on Modeling. (2011). A research agenda for malaria eradication: modeling. PLoS Med, 8(1):e1000403. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1000403

Tomaszewski B, Blanford J, Ross K, Pezanowski S, MacEachren, AM (2011). Supporting geographically-aware web document foraging and sensemaking. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, May;35(3):192-207. doi:doi:10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2011.01.003

Van Kerkhove MD, et al. for the WHO Southern Hemisphere Influenza Comparison Study Working Group. (2011). Epidemiologic and virologic assessment of the 2009 influenza A (H1N1) pandemic on selected temperate countries in the Southern Hemisphere: Argentina, Australia, Chile, New Zealand and South Africa. Influenza Other Respi Viruses, 5:no. doi:10.1111/j.1750-2659.2011.00249x

Van Kerkhove MD, Mumford E, Mounts A, Bresee J, Ly S, Bridges CB, Otte J. (2011). Highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1): pathways of exposure at the animal-human interface, a systematic review. PLoS One, 6(1):e14582.

Van Kerkhove MD, Mounts AW. (2011). 2009 versus 2010 comparison of influenza activity in southern hemisphere temperate countries. Influenza Other Respi Viruses, doi:10.1111/j.1750-2659.2011.00241

Van Kerkhove MD, Vandemaele KAH, Shinde V, Jaramillo-Gutierrez G, Koukounari A, et al. (2011). Risk Factors for Severe Outcomes Following 2009 Influenza A (H1N1) Infection: A Global Pooled Analysis. PLoS Med, 8(7).

Van Panhuis W, Luxemburger C, Pengsaa K, Limkittikul K, Sabchareon A, Lang J, Durbin A, Cummings DAT. (2011). Decay and persistence of maternal dengue antibodies among infants in Bangkok.   Am J Trop Med Hyg, Aug;85:355-62.

White MT, Conteh L, Cibulskis R, Ghani AC. (2011). Costs and cost-effectiveness of malaria control interventions: a systematic review.  Malar J, 10:337.

White MT, Griffin, JT, Churcher TS, Ferguson NM, Basanez MG, Ghani AC. (2011). Modelling the impact of vector control interventions on Anopheles gambiae population dynamics. Parasites & Vectors, July 28; 4(1):153.

White MT, Griffin JT, Riley EM, Drakeley CJ, Moorman AM, Odada Sumba P, Kazura JW, Ghani A, John CC. (2011). Efficacy model for antibody-mediated pre-erythrocytic malaria vaccines. Proc R Soc B, May 7;278(1710):1298-1305.



Bharti N, Djibo A, Ferrari MJ, Grais RF, Tatem A, McCabe C, Bjørnstad ON, Grenfell BT. (2010). Measles hotspots and epidemiological connectivity. Epidemiol Infect, 138( 9):1308-1316. doi:10.1017/S09502688099913851

Bousema T, Okell LC, Shekalaghe S, Griffin JT, Omar S, Sawa P, Sutherland C, Sauerwein R, Ghani AC, Drakeley CJ. (2010). Revisiting the circulation time of Plasmodium falciparum gametocytes: molecular detection methods to estimate the duration of gametocyte carriage and the effect of gametocytocidal drugs. Malaria Journal, 9:136.
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Cooley P, Lee BY, Brown S, Cajka J, Chasteen B, Ganapathi L, Stark JH, Wheaton WD, Wagener DK, Burke DS. (2010) Protecting health care workers: a pandemic simulation based on Allegheny County . Influenza Other Respi Viruses, March;4(2):61-72.

Cummings DAT. Temporal and Spatial Dynamics of Dengue Virus Transmission.” Frontiers in Dengue Virus Research. Eds. Kathryn Hanley and Scott Weaver. Norwich UK: Caister Academic Press, 2010.
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Lee BY, Brown ST, Korch GW, Cooley PC, Zimmerman RK, Wheaton WD, Zimmer SM, Grefenstette JJ, Bailey RR, Assi TM, Burke DS. (2010). A computer simulation of vaccine prioritization, allocation and rationing during the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic. Vaccine, July;28(31):4875-4879.
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Lee BY, Norman BA, Assi TM, Chen SI, Bailey RR, Rajgopal J, Brown ST, Wiringa AS, Burke, DS. (2010). Single versus multi-dose vaccine vials: An economic computational model . Vaccine, July;28(32): 5292-5300. doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.05.048

Lessler J, dos Santos T, Aguilera X, Brookmeyer R, PAHO Influenza Technical Working Group, Cummings DT. (2010). H1N1pdm in the Americas. Epidemics, Sep 1;2(3):132-138.  doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2010.07.001

Lessler J, Moss WJ, Lowther SA, Cummings DAT. (2010). Maintaining high rates of measles immunization in Africa . Epidemiol Infect, 139(7):1039-1049. doi:10.1017/S0950268810002232 

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Rohani P, Zhong X, King AA. (2010). Contact network structure explains the changing epidemiology of pertussis. Science, 12 Nov;330:982-985.

Stack JC, Welch JD, Ferrari MJ, Shapiro BU, Grenfell BT. (2010). Protocols for sampling viral sequences to study epidemic dynamics.  J R Soc Interface, 7:1119-1127.  doi:10.1098/rsif2009.0530

Steenkeste N, Rogers WO, Okell L, Jeanne I, Incardona S, Duval L, Chy S, Hewitt S, Chou M, Socheat D, Babin FX, Ariey F, Rogier C. (2010). Sub-microscopic malaria cases and mixed malaria infection in a remote area of high malaria endemicity in Rattanakiri province, Cambodia: implication for malaria elimination. Malaria Journal, 9:108.

Van Kerkhove MD, et al. for the WHO Informal Network for Mathematical Modelling for Pandemic Influenza H1N1 2009 (Working Group on Data Needs). (2010). Studies needed to address public health challenges of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic: insights from modeling. PLoS Med, June;7(6):e1000275.

Van Panhuis WG, Gibbons RV, Endy TP, Rothman AL, Srikiatkhachorn A, Nisalak A, Burke DS, Cummings DAT. (2010). Inferring the serotype associated with dengue virus infections on the basis of pre- and post-infection neutralizing antibody titers . J Infect Dis, 202(7):1002-1010. doi:10.1086/656141
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Cummings DAT, Iamsirithaworn S, Lessler JT, McDermott A, Prasanthong R, Nisalak A, Jarman RG, Burke, DS, Gibbons RV. (2009).  The impact of the demographic transition on dengue in Thailand: insights from a statistical analysis and mathematical modeling. PLoS Med, 6(9), e1000139. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1000139

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Garske T, Legrand J, Donnelly CA, Ward H, Cauchemez S, Fraser C, Ferguson NM, Ghani AC. (2009). Assessing the severity of the novel influenza A/H1N1 pandemic. BMJ (Clinical Research Ed.), 339,b2840. doi:10.1136/bmj.b2840

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Ghani AC, Sutherland CJ, Riley EM, Drakeley CJ, Griffin JT, Gosling R, Filipe JAN. (2009). Loss of population levels of immunity to malaria as a result of exposure-reducing interventions: consequences for interpretation of disease trends. PloS One,4(2), e4383. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0004383

Grassly NC, Jafari H, Bahl S, Durrani S, Wenger J, Sutter RW, Aylward RB. (2009). Mucosal immunity after vaccination with monovalent and trivalent oral poliovirus vaccine in India. J Infect Dis, 200(5), 794-801. doi:10.1086/605330

Johansson M, Cummings DAT, Glass G. (2009). Multiyear climate variability and dengue-El Niño southern oscillation, weather, and dengue incidence in Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Thailand: a longitudinal data analysisPLoS Med, 6 (11), e1000168. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1000168

King AA, Shrestha S. Harvill ET, Bjørnstad ON. (2009). Evolution of acute infections and the invasion-persistence trade-off. American Nauralist, 173(4):446-455.

Klepac P, Pomeroy LW, Bjørnstad ON, Kuiken T, Osterhaus ADME, Riijks JM. (2009). Stage-structured transmission of phocine distemper virus in the Dutch 2002 outbreak. Proc R Soc B, 276:2469-2476.

Lee BY, Ercius AK, Smith KJ. (2009). A predictive model of the economic effects of an influenza vaccine adjuvant for the older adult (age 65 and over) population.Vaccine, 27(16):2251-7.

Lee BY, Mehrotra A, Burns RM, Harris KM. (2009). Alternative vaccination locations: who uses them and can they increase flu vaccination rates? Vaccine, 27(32):4252-4256.

Lee BY, Tai JH, Bailey RR, Smith KJ. (2009). The timing of influenza vaccination for older adults (65 years and older). Vaccine, 27(50):7110-7115. doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2009.09.056

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Metcalf CJE, Bjørnstad ON, Grenfell BT, Andreasen V. (2009). Seasonality and comparative dynamics of six childhood infections in pre-vaccination Copenhagen. Proc R Soc B, 7 Dec; 276:4111-4118.

Okell LC, Ghani AC, Lyons E, Drakeley CJ. (2009). Sub-microscopic infection in Plasmodium falciparum-endemic populations: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Infect Dis,200(10):1509-1517. doi:10.1086/644781

Park AW, Daly JM, Lewis NS, Smith DJ, Wood JLN, Grenfell BT. (2009). Quantifying the impact of immune escape on transmission dynamics of influenza. Science, 326(5953):726-728. doi:10.1126/science.1175980

Pitzer VE, Viboud C, Simonsen L, Steiner C, Panozzo CA, Alonso WJ, Miller MA, Glass RI, Glasser JW, Parashar UD, Grenfell BT. (2009). Demographic variability, vaccination, and the spatiotemporal dynamics of rotavirus epidemics. Science,325(5938): 290-294. doi:10.1126/science.1172330

Shaman J, Pitzer VE, Viboud C, Lipsitch M, Grenfell BT. (2009). Absolute humidity and the seasonal onset of influenza in the continental US. PLoS Currents, 2:RRN1138.

Van Kerkhove MD, Ly S, Guitian J, Holl D, San S, Mangtani P, Ghani A, Vong S. (2009). Changes in poultry handling behavior and poultry mortality reporting among rural Cambodians in areas affected by HPAI/H5N1. PLoS One,4(7), e6466. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0006466

Van Kerkhove MD, Vong S, Guitian J, Holl D, Mangtani P, San S, Ghani AC. (2009).  Poultry movement networks in Cambodia: implications for surveillance and control of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI/H5N1). Vaccine,27(45):6345-6352. doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2009.05.004

Zimmer SM, Burke DS. (2009). Historical perspective-Emergence of influenza A (H1N1) viruses. NEJM,361(3):279-285. doi:10.1056/NEJMra0904322



Bjørnstad ON, Grenfell BT. (2008). Hazards, spatial transmission and timing of outbreaks in epidemic metapopulations. Environ Ecol Stat,15(3):265-277. doi:10.1007/s10651-007-0059-3

Ferrari MJ, Grais RF, Bharti N, Conlan AJK, Bjørnstad ON, Wolfson LJ, Guerin PJ, Djibo A, Grenfell BT. (2008). The dynamics of measles in sub-Saharan Africa. Nature, 451(7179):679-684. doi:10.1038/nature06509

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